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Affordability Improves as Buyers Regain Control – May 2025 TRREB Market Watch

June 5, 2025
Affordability Improves as Buyers Regain Control – May 2025 TRREB Market Watch main image

📊 Market Overview: Buyers Find Their Footing in a More Affordable GTA

The May 2025 TRREB Market Watch reveals a shift in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) housing market, favoring buyers. Sales are down 13.3% year-over-year, while new listings rose 14%, giving buyers more options and stronger negotiation power.

With lower average selling prices and borrowing costs compared to 2024, affordability has improved, but market confidence is still being held back by economic uncertainty and trade concerns.


🔄 Sales vs. Listings: Supply Rising, Demand Hesitant

  • 6,244 home sales reported in May, down from 7,199 in May 2024
  • 21,819 new listings, a 14% YoY increase
  • On a seasonally adjusted basis, sales were up compared to April, marking the second straight month of increase

This widening gap between listings and sales has led to looser market conditions in many GTA neighbourhoods.

“Buyers have benefited from greater choice and improved affordability this year… but local expertise is critical,” – TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule


💸 Prices: Still Down from Last Year, But Stabilizing

  • Average Price: $1,120,879 (↓ 4% YoY)
  • MLS® HPI Benchmark: ↓ 4.5% YoY
  • Month-over-Month (seasonally adjusted): Small price gains over April

Detached and condo apartments saw the largest annual price declines, particularly in the 416 region.

Property TypeAvg. Price (May 2025)YoY % Change
Detached$1,425,264↓ 5.4%
Semi-Detached$1,098,447↓ 6.4%
Townhouse$995,662↓ 4.5%
Condo Apartment$683,413↓ 6.4%
All Home Types$1,120,879↓ 4.0%

Month-over-Month Price Change (Seasonally Adjusted):

Property TypeMoM % Change (SA)
Detached↑ 1.4%
Semi-Detached↑ 2.2%
Townhouse↑ 3.5%
Condo Apartment↓ 0.3%
All Home Types↑ 0.6%

🔍 Affordability: What’s Supporting Buyers Right Now?

Affordability improved for the second year in a row, supported by:

  • Lower home prices
  • Mortgage costs have levelled off, though deep rate cuts remain unlikely.
  • A rise in inventory and listings
  • Market softening leading to better negotiating leverage

However, confidence is still being suppressed by:

  • Uncertainty around Canada–U.S. trade policy
  • A wait-and-see approach among households
  • Concerns about employment stability

🧱 Policy + Construction Outlook: Supply Now, Risk Later

TRREB’s message to policymakers is clear: act now to sustain affordability and supply. Their key recommendations include:

  • Lowering housing-related taxes and fees
  • Encouraging innovative construction
  • Streamlining approval processes to boost new builds
  • Supporting first-time buyers through targeted programs

If supply creation slows (as pre-construction sales have), we could face a future shortage, especially as population growth continues.


✅ Summary: May 2025 Toronto Real Estate Snapshot

  • 🏘 Sales down 13.3% YoY, up MoM (seasonally adjusted)
  • 📈 New listings up 14% YoY = more buyer choice
  • 💰 Average price: $1.12M (↓ 4% YoY)
  • 🧾 Affordability improved with lower prices and borrowing costs
  • 📉 Condo market under pressure, especially downtown
  • 📊 SNLR (Sales-to-New Listings Ratio) under 40% = buyer’s market
  • 🛠 Policy and rate action still needed for lasting change
  • 🔑 Sellers: realistic pricing is critical; staging matters
  • 🔍 Buyers: this may be the best time to lock in value before competition returns

💡 Final Thoughts for Buyers & Sellers

Buyers: If you’ve been on the sidelines, this is a window worth watching. More listings, lower prices, and friendlier conditions give you a rare edge.

Sellers: Today’s market rewards those who adapt. If you need to sell, be competitive on price, lean into presentation, and align with an expert agent.

📩 Curious how these trends affect your next move?? Please drop an email to: opel@opelou.com Let’s connect and talk about your strategy.

🖋️ Opel Ou, Real Estate Broker, FRI, SRES
Real Estate made clear, one smart move at a time!

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Source: TRREB – Market Watch

May 2025 – Market Statistics – Quick Overview

Residential Statistics

Commercial Statistics(Q3 2024)

Condominium Sales Statistics(Q1 2025)

Condominium Rental Statistics(Q1 2025)

* **In conjunction with TRREB’s redistricting project, historical data may be subject to revision moving forward. This could temporarily impact per cent change comparisons to data from previous years**

Source: Housing Market Chart Archive – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB)

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